A negative gamma environment occurs when options market makers are net short gamma across the market. In this regime, dealer hedging amplifies price movements rather than dampening them, creating a fundamentally different market character.
The Mechanics
When dealers are short gamma (typically from selling options to clients):
Price Rises
- Short call deltas become more negative
- Dealers must buy to re-hedge
- Buying pushes price higher
- Cycle continues → momentum
Price Falls
- Short put deltas become more positive
- Dealers must sell to re-hedge
- Selling pushes price lower
- Cycle continues → momentum
This is the opposite of a positive gamma environment, where dealers mean-revert price.
Visual: The Feedback Loop
Positive Gamma Negative Gamma
────────────── ──────────────
Price ↑ → Sell → Dampens Price ↑ → Buy → Amplifies
Price ↓ → Buy → Dampens Price ↓ → Sell → Amplifies
Result: Mean Reversion Result: Momentum/Trends
Low Volatility High Volatility
Identifying Negative Gamma
Quantitative Signals
| Metric | Negative Gamma Indication |
|---|---|
| Aggregate GEX | Below zero (and falling) |
| Put/Call OI ratio | Elevated put open interest |
| Dealer positioning | Net short options |
| VIX term structure | Backwardation (inverted) |
Market Behavior Signals
- Large intraday ranges
- Failed breakouts that become waterfalls
- Gaps that don't fill
- VIX elevated above 20
- Correlation spikes across assets
When Markets Go Negative Gamma
Common Triggers
- Significant selloff: Put buying from hedgers
- Pre-event positioning: Protective puts ahead of risk events
- Systematic selling: Vol-targeting funds reducing exposure
- OPEX mechanics: Gamma concentration at strikes
Historical Examples
Major selloffs almost always occur in negative gamma environments:
- March 2020: COVID crash, extreme negative gamma
- 2022 bear market: Persistent negative gamma regime
- VIX spikes: Nearly always coincide with negative gamma
Trading in Negative Gamma
What Works
| Strategy | Rationale |
|---|---|
| Trend following | Momentum is your friend |
| Wide stops | Volatility is elevated |
| Reduced size | Larger moves, more risk |
| Breakout plays | Moves tend to extend |
What Doesn't Work
| Strategy | Why It Fails |
|---|---|
| Mean reversion | Dealers aren't providing support |
| Tight stops | Get whipsawed |
| Selling premium | Gamma works against you |
| Fighting the trend | No natural mean reversion |
Gamma Flip: The Transition Point
The market transitions between positive and negative gamma at the gamma flip level—the price where aggregate dealer gamma crosses zero.
- Above the flip: Positive gamma, mean-reverting
- Below the flip: Negative gamma, trending
Knowing the flip level helps anticipate regime changes.
Negative Gamma and Volatility
Negative gamma environments are strongly correlated with elevated realized volatility:
| Gamma Regime | Typical Daily Range | Realized Vol |
|---|---|---|
| Highly positive | 0.3-0.5% | 8-12% annualized |
| Neutral | 0.5-0.8% | 12-16% annualized |
| Negative | 1.0-2.0%+ | 20-40%+ annualized |
Duration of Negative Gamma Regimes
Negative gamma environments are typically:
- Shorter than positive gamma regimes
- More intense in their market impact
- Self-correcting (selloffs create put-selling opportunities)
Average duration: Days to a few weeks, rarely months.
Monitor Gamma Regime
Track aggregate GEX and know exactly when the market transitions to negative gamma.
Check Current GEX →Related Concepts
- Gamma Exposure (GEX) - How we measure aggregate gamma
- Vanna Exposure - Volatility flows that accompany negative gamma
- 0DTE Options - Often triggers negative gamma regimes
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